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NewsScroll analysis: Nigeria’s Per Capita Income tumbles to 26-Year low under APC, reversing gains of PDP era
Nigeria’s GDP per capita has plunged to a staggering 26-year low, effectively wiping out the steady economic gains recorded under the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) administrations from 1999 to 2015. This emerges from new data by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) visualized by TheCable Index.
According to the figures, Nigeria’s per capita income rose consistently during the PDP years, climbing from a mere $482 in 1999 under President Olusegun Obasanjo to an impressive $3,265 by 2014 under President Goodluck Jonathan. But since 2015, when the All Progressives Congress (APC) came to power, the trend has dramatically reversed, culminating in an alarming drop to just $807 in 2025 — the lowest since 1999.
The Rise Under PDP (1999–2015)
From the return to democracy in 1999, Nigeria under the PDP saw a gradual but firm rise in prosperity.
• Under Obasanjo (1999–2007), GDP per capita grew from $482 to $1,563, laying the foundation for macroeconomic stability through debt relief and banking sector reforms.
• Under Umaru Musa Yar’Adua (2007–2010), the figure peaked at $2,232 before slightly dipping to $1,960 in 2009 amid global financial turmoil.
• Under Jonathan (2010–2015), per capita income surged to its historical high of $3,265 by 2014.
This 16-year period was marked by major oil revenue booms and economic expansion that consistently translated to improved income on a per-person basis.
The Fall Under APC (2015–2025)
When the APC took office with President Muhammadu Buhari in 2015, the trend sharply turned.
• GDP per capita fell to $2,729 in 2015 and continued to slide nearly every year, closing Buhari’s tenure at $2,198 in 2022 — a 33% decline from Jonathan’s 2014 peak.
• Under President Bola Tinubu, the decline has been even steeper. In just two years, Nigeria’s per capita income has nosedived from $1,637 in 2023 to $807 in April 2025.
This figure is less than one-fourth of what it was a decade ago and starkly below the levels inherited from the PDP in 2015.
Analysis: A Tale of Two Parties and Economic Divergence
The data tells a sobering story. For 16 years under the PDP, Nigeria’s income per head steadily rose, reflecting the country’s oil-driven growth and relative macroeconomic stability. These gains, however, were fragile, overly tied to global oil prices, and left the economy vulnerable to shocks.
When the APC assumed power in 2015, it inherited a commodity slump but critics argue that weak policy responses, forex mismanagement, and chronic insecurity have deepened the crisis. Instead of halting the slide, successive APC administrations have presided over an unrelenting erosion of prosperity.
The crash to $807 per capita in 2025 represents not just economic pain in abstract figures — it means Nigerians are, on average, poorer than they were a generation ago. For a country with one of the world’s fastest growing populations, this is a dire marker of rising poverty, hunger, and social frustration.
This economic reversal highlights the consequences of failing to diversify beyond oil, tame inflation, stabilize the naira, and create jobs at scale. It also underscores how governance choices — including fiscal discipline, investment climate reforms, and security architecture — have direct impacts on citizens’ wallets.
The Bottom Line
As Nigeria grapples with these harsh realities, the data serves as a wake-up call for leaders across the political divide. Reversing this bleak trajectory will require more than slogans. It will demand bold structural reforms, renewed social contracts, and above all, a commitment to inclusive growth that ensures the average Nigerian does not continue to grow poorer year after year.
Nigerian stock market soars with N13.2trn windfall for investors in Half 1, 2025
Nigeria’s equity markets delivered exceptional performance in the first six months of 2025, generating massive gains of N13.2 trillion for investors amid surging confidence.
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) witnessed its market capitalization surge from N62.763 trillion at year-end 2024 to N75.964 trillion by June 27, 2025 – representing an impressive 21% growth. This remarkable expansion reflects growing optimism about Nigeria’s economic trajectory and the effectiveness of recent policy measures.
Market Performance Highlights
The NGX All-Share Index demonstrated equally strong momentum, climbing 17.2% from 102,926.4 points to reach 119,955.76 points during the period. June proved particularly lucrative, contributing N5.5 trillion in gains alone and showcasing the accelerating pace of investor enthusiasm.
Several key factors drove this exceptional market performance. Government policy clarity has emerged as a crucial catalyst, alongside improved foreign exchange liquidity and strengthening macroeconomic fundamentals.
Sector Leadership and Corporate Strength
The rally was broadly based, with banking, industrial goods, telecommunications, and oil and gas sectors leading the charge. Enhanced transparency through improved corporate disclosures, strong earnings reports, and attractive dividend distributions further bolstered market sentiment throughout the period.
The Central Bank’s proactive approach to maintaining financial stability proved instrumental in sustaining the upward momentum. Rising crude oil prices and consistent diaspora remittances provided additional support by strengthening external reserves and enhancing overall market resilience.
Foreign Investment Revival
International investors, who had previously adopted a cautious stance due to Nigeria’s macroeconomic challenges, are returning in significant numbers. The successful implementation of reforms addressing capital repatriation concerns and foreign exchange liquidity issues has restored confidence among global fund managers.
Individual Stock Success Stories
The broad-based rally translated into impressive gains for individual securities. MTN Nigeria’s share price jumped from N242 in January to N357.50 by late June, while Honeywell Flour Mills more than doubled from N10.00 to N21.20. Caverton experienced similarly dramatic growth, rising from N2.38 to N5.22, and University Press gained from N4.45 to N6.00. Cornerstone Insurance also participated in the rally, advancing from N3.31 to N4.15.
Here’s the latest as Israel-Hamas war enters Day 634
Israel strikes pound Gaza, killing 60, ahead of US talks on ceasefire
Israeli strikes killed at least 60 people across Gaza on Monday in some of the heaviest attacks in weeks as Israeli officials were due in Washington for a new ceasefire push by U.S. President Donald Trump.
A day after Trump called to "Make the deal in Gaza, get the hostages back", Israel's strategic affairs minister Ron Dermer, a confidant of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's, was travelling to Washington for talks on Iran and Gaza, according to an Israeli official and a source familiar with the matter.
Dermer was expected to begin meetings with Trump administration officials on Tuesday, the source in Washington said.
But on the ground in the Palestinian enclave, there was no sign of fighting letting up. The Israeli military issued evacuation orders on Monday to residents in large districts in the northern Gaza Strip, forcing a new wave of displacement.
"Explosions never stopped; they bombed schools and homes. It felt like earthquakes," said Salah, 60, a father of five children, from Gaza City. "In the news we hear a ceasefire is near, on the ground we see death and we hear explosions."
"Look at us, we are not just numbers and not just pictures. Every day martyrs like this," said displaced woman Amani Swalha, standing in the rubble of a Gaza city school hit in a strike. "It is our right to live, and to live with dignity, not like this in humiliation."
Israeli tanks pushed into the eastern areas of Zeitoun suburb in Gaza City and shelled several areas in the north, while aircraft bombed at least four schools after ordering hundreds of families sheltering inside to leave, residents said.
At least 58 people were killed in Israeli strikes on Monday, health authorities said, including 10 people killed in Zeitoun and at least 13 killed southwest of Gaza City. Medics said most of the 13 were hit by gunfire, but residents also reported an airstrike.
Twenty-two people, including women, children and a local journalist were killed in an Israeli airstrike on a beachfront cafe in Gaza City, medics said. The Palestinian Journalist Syndicate said more than 220 journalists had been killed in Gaza since the war began in October 2023.
The Israeli military said it struck militant targets in northern Gaza, including command and control centers, after taking steps to mitigate the risk of harming civilians.
There was no immediate word from Israel on the reported casualties southwest of the Gaza Strip and the beachfront cafe.
The bombardment followed new evacuation orders to vast areas in the north, where Israeli forces had operated before and left behind wide-scale destruction. The military ordered people there to head south, saying that it planned to fight Hamas militants operating in northern Gaza, including in the heart of Gaza City.
'MAKE THE DEAL'
Alongside talks on Gaza ceasefire prospects, Dermer also plans to discuss Netanyahu's possible visit to the White House in coming weeks, according to the source familiar with the matter.
In Israel, Netanyahu's security cabinet was expected to convene to discuss the next steps in Gaza.
On Friday, Israel's military chief said the present ground operation was close to having achieved its goals, and on Sunday, Netanyahu said new opportunities had opened up for recovering the hostages, 20 of whom are believed to still be alive.
Palestinian and Egyptian sources with knowledge of the latest ceasefire efforts said that mediators Qatar and Egypt have stepped up their contacts with the two warring sides, but that no date has been set yet for a new round of truce talks.
A Hamas official said that progress depends on Israel changing its position and agreeing to end the war and withdraw from Gaza. Israel says it can end the war only when Hamas is disarmed and dismantled. Hamas refuses to lay down its arms.
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar said Israel has agreed to a U.S.-proposed 60-day ceasefire and hostage deal, and put the onus on Hamas. He told reporters: "Israel is serious in its will to reach a hostage deal and ceasefire in Gaza."
Austrian Foreign Minister Beate Meinl-Reisinger, speaking in Jerusalem alongside her Israeli counterpart, said the humanitarian situation in Gaza was “unbearable.”
“The suffering of civilians is increasingly burdening Israel's relations with Europe. A ceasefire must be agreed upon,” she said, calling for the unconditional release of hostages by Hamas and for Israel to allow the uninterrupted flow of humanitarian aid into Gaza.
Israel says it continues to allow aid into Gaza and accuses Hamas of stealing it. The group denies that accusation and says Israel uses hunger as a weapon against the Gaza population.
The U.S. has proposed a 60-day ceasefire and the release of half the hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners and the remains of other Palestinians. Hamas would release the remaining hostages as part of a deal that guarantees ending the war.
The war began when Hamas fighters stormed into Israel on October 7 2023, killed 1,200 people, most of them civilians, and took 251 hostages back to Gaza in a surprise attack that led to Israel's single deadliest day.
Israel's subsequent military assault has killedmore than 56,000 Palestinians, most of them civilians, according to the Gaza health ministry, displaced almost the whole 2.3 million population and plunged the enclave into a humanitarian crisis.
More than 80% of the territory is now an Israeli-militarized zone or under displacement orders, according to the U.N.
Reuters
What to know after Day 1223 of Russia-Ukraine war
WESTERN PERSPECTIVE
Kremlin, asked about US sanctions bill, suggests it would impact Ukraine peace efforts if implemented
The Kremlin said on Monday that it had taken note of comments made by U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham who is sponsoring a tough new sanctions bill on Russia and that its backers should consider its impact on efforts to reach a peace deal on Ukraine.
Graham said in an interview with ABC News on Sunday that President Donald Trump had told him that the sanctions bill - which would impose 500% tariffs on countries like China and India that buy Russian oil - should be brought forward for a vote.
Graham called Trump's decision "a big breakthrough" which he said was part of efforts to bring Russian President Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table on Ukraine and give Trump "a tool" to bring that about.
He stressed however that Trump had a waiver and could decide whether or not to sign it into law if and when it passes Congress.
Asked about Graham's comments, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Monday that Russia was aware of the U.S. senator's stance and had taken note of his statement.
"The senator's views are well known to us, they are well known to the whole world. He belongs to a group of inveterate Russophobes. If it were up to him, these sanctions would have been imposed long ago," said Peskov.
"Would that have helped the (Ukraine) settlement (process)? That is a question that those who initiate such events should ask themselves."
RUSSIAN PERSPECTIVE
Civilian killed in Ukrainian attack on Donetsk – governor
Ukrainian forces launched a series of missile and drone attacks on the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) on Monday evening, resulting in the death of one civilian and injuries to at least three others, including a teenager, according to DPR head Denis Pushilin.
In a Telegram post, Pushilin reported that long-range air-launched missiles struck the Voroshilovsky district of Donetsk, killing a woman and injuring a male teenager and an adult man. The attack caused fires and significant damage to civilian infrastructure, including the Sokol market, the central department store, and a bank.
“Air defenses here in the Republic have been working nonstop for the last hour. I’ve seen several rockets intercepted in the air, but apparently some of them have made it here to this center,” RT correspondent Roman Kosarev reported from the scene of the strike in Donetsk. “A small shopping center is destroyed. I saw one body of a woman while I was on my way over here.”
The Russian Defense Ministry has yet to confirm the exact type of missiles used in the attack, but early reports suggest Kiev might have fired British-supplied Storm Shadows. “Specialists will try to determine what exactly these fragments are a little bit later on,” Kosarev added, showing suspected fragments of the missile discovered on the scene.
In a separate incident, a kamikaze drone attack targeted Gorlovka, injuring a 19-year-old male in one of the biggest cities in the DPR. Gorlovka, located 50 kilometers north of Donetsk, was home to some 250,000 people before the conflict and has been frequently targeted by Kiev’s forces since 2014. The latest strike destroyed one residential building and damaged 12 others, along with seven civilian infrastructure facilities, including a clinic, a dormitory, three boiler houses, a pharmacy, and a bank branch, according to Pushilin.
Emergency services were engaged in extinguishing the fires and assessing the full extent of the damage. Pushilin stated that all injured individuals were receiving qualified medical assistance.
Last week, the Russian Foreign Ministry accused Kiev of deliberately committing atrocities against civilians in Donbass, including mass killings of the elderly and drone strikes on residential homes.
“This is not an accident, but an inherent flaw – the hallmark of the Kiev authorities. It is a deliberate policy that has already been elevated to the level of state doctrine,” the ministry’s spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said while speaking at a conference on the “atrocities and war crimes by the Kiev regime in Dzerzhynsk,”another DPR city some 30 km north of Donetsk that was liberated by Russian troops in February.
Donetsk and its sister republic, the Lugansk People’s Republic, declared independence following the Western-backed coup in Kiev in 2014. After years of Ukraine’s refusal to implement the Minsk Agreements and Kiev’s continued shelling of civilian areas in the breakaway regions, Russia launched its special military operation on February 24, 2022. In late September 2022, the two republics, colloquially known as the Donbass, along with the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions, conducted referendums on joining Russia.
On Monday, Governor Leonid Pasechnik announced that the Russian military had taken control of the entirety of the Lugansk People’s Republic (LPR). Meanwhile, Russian forces continue operations to liberate the parts of the DPR that remain under Kiev’s control.
Reuters/RT
Appropriate cost of governance: A matter of utmost urgency - Aje Olukoya
I enjoin everyone, every institution or organization to appraise, apply and spread this gospel as it is the solution to the problems besetting the country and it is of utmost urgency because the problems are increasing by leaps and bounds and gaining strength of an ever-growing giant which is continually pinning us to the wall. But don’t be dismayed. It is darkest before dawn, for with our back to the wall, we have been able to discover that there is a chink in the giant’s armour and the weapon to apply is appropriate cost of governance. Please read on:
When I wrote about the need to address the gargantuan and ever spiraling cost of governance
as a means of solving the myriads of problems confronting the country, little did I know that
there would be an outpour, openly, as we had during the End Bad Governance Protests.
Unfortunately, however, neither the protests nor the response by Mr. President touched on the
root of the problems. The holy book says “My people perish for lack of knowledge”. If Nigerians are aware that excess cost of governance is where the various challenges confronting
the nation are sourced and nurtured until they become the behemoth, the gigantic araba tree standing in the way of their progress and well-being, they could have drawn attention to the tap root which cost of governance represents with a view to felling the araba tree. It is not all problems that can be resolved with force. In fact, force does not solve problems it merely
sweeps them under. Our situation calls for sober reflection and introspection on the dilemma
facing the country with a view to finding a workable solution. An analogy may explain the
situation more clearly: When politicians are elected to manage the affairs of the country, it is
like giving them an open signed cheque to use the resources of the nation judiciously for the
collective. But because most of our political elite are bereft of integrity and sense of social
justice, they use the largest chunk of our resources for the smallest number, majorly
themselves. Politicking in Nigeria therefore is, in the main, a race for a big bite of the cake
rather than service to the nation as it should be. It is the insatiable appetite of our leaders for
wealth and power that has brought us to this dire straits.
The system of cost without constraint, that paints a picture of bottomless pit of money available for public spending, is the attraction of most politicians; and the ease with which they
appropriate the resources of the nation, mostly to themselves with reckless abandon, is why
everything goes awry with the country. We sure need a change. A change that will take us out
of the rot and ensure our desired steady progress. A system that will consciously limit the cost
of governance to appropriate portion of the nation’s resources; a standard cost of governance
appropriate to the level of the country’s development. But we continue to ignore this model as
solution to our problems at our own peril. “Odo ki i lojupon ka tun ma wogbe pon”. You don’t
need to enter the bush to fetch water from a brook when the seepage is in the open. Therefore,
if we have not addressed ourselves to the solution of our problems it is because the gospel has not been spread widely enough or because those concerned are feigning ignorance just because
implementation of the system of appropriate cost of governance will stem their greed, take the
feeding bottle out of the mouths of the over grown adults as it were. This piece explains the
imperative of (designing and) applying appropriate (or standard) cost of governance if Nigeria must get out of the rot and march on the path of development. The situation now is like a ship without compass but lost in a tumultuous sea. No matter the expertise of the crew, the compass must be found and applied for the ship to berth safely. Appropriate cost of governance is the missing compass.It is not enough to set up committees or appoint experts to address specific problems facing the country. The appointer must provide a roadmap and benchmark which will be the focus in making a cost/benefit analysis of the problems to enable provide solution. Even the best
economic expert will precede his opinion with: ‘all things being equal’. But all things are not
equal when costs and benefits are incongruously perched with cost of governance going
through the roof and benefits sinking to the nadir. Things don’t change by denial of the fact
but by taking concrete action in applying solution.
Tax and Revenue Generation.
The new law being proposed for tax and revenue generation is comprehensive and will, without
doubt, expand the tax net and increase the revenue of the nation. It is also comforting that the Committee is saddled with fiscal policy in its entirety. We hope that the committee will look
holistically at the cost structure vis a vis the resources of the country at the present level of
development in which case this paper will be a useful corollary to your recommendation. Laws
enacted or policies formulated with the backdrop of appropriate cost of governance will be far
more transparent and equitable and will engender trust, obedience and the needed compliance.
The National Peace Committee
The nation appreciates the steps taken by the National Peace Committee in the past, as elder
statesmen, to prevent war-like acrimony during political campaigns and elections. It is noted however that political parties and their candidates either shun the wise counsel of the elders or apply them in the breach in most cases. For a change, if political parties and their candidates
give their commitment to appropriate cost of governance theory, this will enable them realize that occupying a political office is neither a tea party nor an opportunity for unrestrained access to the treasury. This will be a better way of ensuring politics without bitterness and election without acrimony.
SERAP and Other N.G.Os
Without prejudice to your present system of monitoring and measuring government
performance which is historic, application of this theory is preventive and transparent. For
example, it is better and easier to critique a budget plan for its cost of governance content than
to cry foul after budget implementation and when corruption must have gained strength to fight back.
The Patriots and Elder Statesmen
Applying the system of appropriate cost of governance as a first step before any government action or decision will ensure that costs are incurred dispassionately without bias or selfish interest.
Therefore, well-meaning elders, who variously suggest return to parliamentary system,
restructuring, constitution review, separation, among others, may have to note that meaningful
and dispassionate decisions can only be taken (for or against issues) by those whose motives
are altruistic and not by those who engage in transactional politics in order to maintain the
status quo in their own interests. We have gone through that route before, spending about
twelve billion Naira, but the report of the conference is gathering dust somewhere in the villa.
Seek ye first appropriate cost of governance to ensure that all things will fall in place.
The President
Of a truth, the incumbent is not the sole ‘manufacturer’ of our self-inflicted problems. As
such, we cannot blame him for the effect of cumulative fiscal indiscretion of our past leaders;
but the buck stops on the President’s table as the numero uno. Sir, the nation bought into your “change” manifesto, hence you became President. A workable change however should not bebusiness as usual but rather transformative. Nigeria needs your magical change, Sir, not in the manner of the legendary Alimi yopayopa or Professor Peller, but in form of total turn around, a paradigm shift that will bring us out of the rot and map a way forward. If Mr. President can apply this appropriate cost of governance with half the zeal with which he announced the removal of oil subsidy and the revaluation of the Naira, the nation will witness a turn-around in the manner of biblical Samaria after the siege of Syria. It is only then that you will be the needed transformative leader that will bring Nigeria back from the brinks and leave an enduring legacy.
The Ruling class
Granting that Nigerians have been suffering from collective amnesia all the while, now that
the truth is out in the open, it should be a wake-up call for introspection and self-reassessment.
Everybody should add commensurate value and earn their keep in service to the nation. It will also be a preemptive step that will forestall obstructive revolution. There must be a complete turnaround, a political suicide as a writer aptly described it, meaning that the ruling class must be dead to the old system of politics of self-interest, what-isin-it-for-me, you- chop- I- chop.
When a hefty chunk of the resources at any tier of government is allocated to those in government, you are planting corruption ab initio. True democracy requires fiscal discipline, integrity and sense of social justice.
Political Parties & election candidates
The truth is that our democracy in Nigeria since the military interregnum has been merely on
paper , it has always been pseudo-democracy, democratic feudalism or feudalistic democracy whereby the ruling elite use the resources of the nation to feather their own nests as much as they can, leaving the rest (if any) to the collective like benevolent feudalists. You can deceive all the people some of the time or some of the people all the time, but you cannot deceive all the people all of the time. Your usual campaign rhetoric and promises of heaven on earth will
take us nowhere if a system of appropriate cost of governance is not in place.
You must be fair before you are kind and the way to display fairness is your approach to
adopting the appropriate cost of governance system: a workable platform and the minimum
expectation from any party desiring to rule. The system should be the foundation of your
manifesto and the bench mark for measuring your performance.
INEC
As the agency responsible for recruitment of the ruling class, your success can only be
measured by the quality of those elected to manage the affairs of the country. Democritus, in
his wise crack, said: the man enslaved to wealth can never be honest. This system of
appropriate cost of governance will separate the wheat from the chaff and provide a useful tool
for selecting honest and diligent candidates rather than those whose actions and values are
driven by greed and personal aggrandizement.
As Nigerians, we have collective responsibility to make Nigeria great again, but we cannot be
operating pseudo democracy and expect the dividends of true democracy. Let us apply
appropriate cost of governance as a tool and fiscal discipline to break away from the “sins” of
the past. Lack of integrity, corruption and absence of social justice must not be allowed to kill
Nigeria.
Aje Olukoya, a Corporate Governance Consultant writes from Lagos via: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
The biggest communication mistake many people make
Maybe it's the Gen Z in me, but I’m not a fan of corporate jargon. The thought of having to use terms and phrases like “KPI”, “synergy” or “run it up the flagpole” makes me shudder — and don’t get me started on pulling someone in for a “coffee chat.”
Just ask if they want to grab coffee! The chatting is already implied.
Turns out, using too much corporate jargon in hopes of sounding smarter is one of the biggest communication mistakes that most people make, says author and public speaking consultant Bill McGowan.
Saying you want to “socialize an idea with your colleagues to strengthen cross-functional collaboration,” instead of saying you want to work together to solve a problem, can confuse people and sound inauthentic, says McGowan. He’s coached politicians, celebrities, and CEOs including Mark Zuckerberg and Jeff Bezos.
“Typically, people who are jargon-y and speak in a very corporate way, because that’s what they have learned through osmosis, aren’t going to connect with [others],” says McGowan.
The same goes for when you give a speech or presentation: Big words and corporate phrases don’t enhance what you’re saying, McGowan says. They can actually make it more difficult for your audience to follow along, he adds.
Next time you’re in a meeting at work or conversing with a colleague, you can sound smarter by making a few simple changes, like using active voice instead of passive, communications experts Kathy and Ross Petras wrote for CNBC Make It in April: “Instead of saying: ‘Sales have continued to maintain their upward trajectory in the current quarter,’ say, ‘Sales increased this quarter.’”
When preparing for your next speech or presentation, don’t write out your entire spiel on your laptop, McGowan suggests. Instead, write a loose outline — then record yourself talking based on it. Afterward, transcribe your recording and clean up your mistakes, but keep the style and tone.
This will help you sound more natural, authentic and memorable — not robotic and over-rehearsed, McGowan says.
CNBC
Nigerian Bond Market extends gains as yields fall to 18.38%
Nigeria’s sovereign debt market maintained its upward trajectory last week, with continued investor interest driving down average bond yields by 19 basis points to 18.38% from the previous week’s 18.57%.
The positive momentum was primarily fueled by robust buying activity in longer-term securities. The JAN-35, MAR-27, and APR-32 bonds experienced significant yield declines of 64, 39, and 36 basis points respectively, as investors capitalized on improved market conditions and moderating inflation concerns.
The rally wasn’t universal, however. Some profit-taking emerged in select instruments, with the APR-32 and JUN-33 bonds seeing their yields rise by 36 and 13 basis points. Financial analysts view this mixed performance as evidence of strategic positioning by large investors awaiting clearer policy direction.
Primary Market Activity Shows Strong Appetite
The Debt Management Office’s June bond auction revealed compelling investor demand despite a scaled-back offering. The agency presented N100 billion in Federal Government bonds—a substantial reduction from the typical N300 billion monthly allocation.
Investor response was overwhelming, with subscription levels reaching N602.86 billion, though final allotments totaled just N99.99 billion. The seven-year tenor attracted particular attention, accounting for over 93% of all submitted bids.
Final clearing rates were set at 17.75% for the APR-29 maturity and 17.95% for the JUN-32 bond, levels that closely matched secondary market pricing at the time.
Treasury Bills Join the Rally
Short-term government securities also participated in the positive trend, with Treasury Bill yields dropping 29 basis points to average 20.23%. The most significant declines occurred in the APR-26 (-136 bps), MAY-26 (-97 bps), and JAN-26 (-86 bps) instruments, demonstrating broad-based demand across the yield curve.
Some consolidation was evident in the NOV-25 and MAR-26 bills, where yields edged up by 8 and 5 basis points respectively due to limited selling pressure.
International Bonds Benefit from Global Flows
Nigeria’s dollar-denominated Eurobonds also attracted increased investment, with average yields falling to 8.61% from 8.97% in the prior week. The SEP-33, FEB-32, and SEP-28 issues led the compression with yield declines of 45, 44, and 39 basis points respectively.
This performance reflects growing international investor confidence in emerging market debt as global risk sentiment improves and investors search for yield opportunities in developing economies.
NiMet predicts three-day thunderstorms, rains, warns airlines
The Nigerian Meteorological Agency has predicted thundery, rainy weather activities from Monday to Wednesday across the country.
NiMet’s weather outlook released on Sunday in Abuja predicted thunderstorms (with or without rains) during the early morning hours over parts of Sokoto, Kebbi, Zamfara, Taraba, Adamawa and Kaduna States in the northern region.
According to the agency, the rest of the region will be sunny with patches of cloud.
“Thunderstorms with rains are expected during the afternoon or evening hours over parts of Adamawa, Taraba, Borno, Jigawa, Yobe, Kano, Katsina, Gombe, Sokoto, Kebbi, Zamfara and Kaduna States.
“In the central region, morning thunderstorms with rains are expected over parts of Niger, Plateau and the Federal Capital Territory while the remaining parts of the region are anticipated to be sunny with cloud patches.
“Isolated thunderstorms (with or without rain) are expected over parts of Plateau, Federal Capital Territory, Benue, Nasarawa, Kogi and Niger States during the afternoon or evening periods,” it said
NiMet envisaged cloudy skies over the southern region with prospects of morning light rains over parts of Ogun, Lagos, Cross River and Akwa Ibom States.
It anticipated afternoon or evening thunderstorms with light rains over parts of Ogun, Lagos, Ondo, Oyo, Imo, Ebonyi, Enugu, Anambra, Abia, Edo, Delta, Rivers, Bayelsa, Cross River and Akwa Ibom States.
“For Tuesday in the northern region, sunny skies with patches of clouds are expected in most of the region with chances of morning scattered thunderstorms with heavy rains over parts of Adamawa, Taraba, Borno, Yobe, Sokoto, Jigawa, Bauchi and Kaduna States.
“Thunderstorms with light rains are expected during the afternoon or evening hours over parts of Taraba, Adamawa, Gombe, Borno, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, and Bauchi States,” it said.
According to NiMet, morning thunderstorms with light rains are anticipated over parts of the Federal Capital Territory, Niger, Kogi and Benue States in the central region.
The agency envisaged thunderstorms with light rains over parts of Nasarawa, the Federal Capital Territory, Benue, Kogi and Plateau States later in the day.
It forecast cloudy skies over the southern region with chances of morning rains over parts of Akwa Ibom and Cross River States.
The agency predicted thunderstorms with light rain over the southern region during the afternoon or evening periods.
“For Wednesday, morning thunderstorms are anticipated over parts of Zamfara, Kebbi, Borno, Yobe, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Gombe, Bauchi and Sokoto states in the northern region.
“Thunderstorms with heavy rains are expected over parts of Borno, Yobe, Bauchi, Kano, Katsina, Kaduna, Jigawa, Taraba and Adamawa States during the afternoon to evening periods.
“For the central region, cloudy skies are anticipated over the region during the morning hours.
“Thunderstorms with moderate rains are expected across the region in the afternoon to evening periods.
“For southern region, there are prospects of light rains across the entire region throughout the day,” it said.
According to NiMet, strong winds may precede the rains in areas where thunderstorms are likely to occur.
The public should take adequate precautions and ensure that loose objects are fastened to avoid collision.
“Driving under heavy rain should be avoided. Disconnect electrical appliances from electrical sockets. Stay away from tall trees to avoid impact from falling branches and broken trees.
“Airline operators are advised to get airport-specific weather reports (flight documentation) from NiMet for effective planning in their operations.
Bandits strike again in Benue, kill four policemen in fresh attacks
Armed bandits on Sunday launched another deadly assault on Benue State, killing at least four Mobile Police officers in Udei community, Guma Local Government Area.
The attack, which began around 11 a.m., first targeted Asha community where the assailants fired sporadically, forcing farmers to flee. The violence quickly spread towards Ortese, a settlement housing thousands of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs).
Witnesses said the intervention of military personnel, who deployed armoured vehicles and engaged the attackers in the bush for over an hour, prevented the bandits from overrunning Ortese.
“They started pursuing people from their farms at Asha and it escalated to Ortese,” said Matthew Mnyan, a community leader and former acting chairman of the Benue State Universal Basic Education Board. “Soldiers engaged them with two armoured trucks, pushing them back into the bush. But they later advanced towards Dudu, near Daudu.”
Around 2 p.m., in what appeared to be a coordinated operation, the bandits struck Udei, where four Mobile Policemen lost their lives in a fierce gun battle.
Mnyan, who was in touch with security authorities, said: “When I got the information, I called the Divisional Police Officer who moved in with his men. Sadly, four policemen were killed. The bandits even reappeared at Ortese later in the evening. People are terrified, including the IDPs who are pleading for more security.”
This latest assault comes just over two weeks after a massacre in nearby Yelewata community left more than 200 people dead, dozens injured, and hundreds displaced.
Efforts to reach Benue State Police spokesperson, Udeme Edet, for comments were unsuccessful, as calls and text messages went unanswered.
With reports from Vanguard
Here’s the latest as Israel-Hamas war enters Day 633
Israel orders evacuations in northern Gaza as Trump calls for war to end
The Israeli military ordered Palestinians to evacuate areas in northern Gaza on Sunday before intensified fighting against Hamas, as U.S. President Donald Trump called for an end to the war amid renewed efforts to broker a ceasefire.
"Make the deal in Gaza, get the hostages back," Trump posted on his Truth Social platform early on Sunday.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was due to hold talks later in the day on the progress of Israel's offensive. A senior security official said the military will tell him the campaign is close to reaching its objectives, and warn that expanding fighting to new areas in Gaza may endanger the remaining Israeli hostages.
But in a statement posted on X and text messages sent to many residents, the military urged people in northern parts of the enclave to head south towards the Al-Mawasi area in Khan Younis, which Israel designated as a humanitarian area. Palestinian and U.N. officials say nowhere in Gaza is safe.
"The (Israeli) Defense Forces is operating with extreme force in these areas, and these military operations will escalate, intensify, and extend westward to the city center to destroy the capabilities of terrorist organizations," the military said.
The evacuation order covered the Jabalia area and most Gaza City districts. Medics and residents said the Israeli army's bombardments escalated in the early hours in Jabalia, destroying several houses and killing at least six people.
In Khan Younis in the south, five people were killed in an airstrike on a tent encampment near Mawasi, medics said. At least 12 other people were killed in separate Israeli military strikes and gunfire across the enclave, taking Sunday's death toll to at least 23, medics said.
At Nasser Hospital in Khan Younis, relatives arrived to pay their respects to white-shrouded bodies before they are buried.
"A month ago, they (Israel) told us to go to Al-Mawasi (in Khan Younis) and we stayed there for a month, it is a safe zone," said Zeyad Abu Marouf. He said three of his children were killed and a fourth was wounded in the Israeli airstrike.
"We ask God and the Arabs to move and end this occupation and the injustice taking place against us,” Abu Marouf told Reuters.
NEW CEASEFIRE PUSH
The military escalation comes as Arab mediators, Egypt and Qatar, backed by the United States, begin a new ceasefire effort to halt the 20-month-old conflict and secure the release of Israeli and foreign hostages still being held by Hamas.
Interest in resolving the Gaza conflict has heightened following U.S. and Israeli bombings of Iran's nuclear facilities.
There has also been rising concern over how aid is being distributed to Gazans in the ruined enclave. Hundreds of Palestinians have been killed over the past month in the vicinity of areas where food was being handed out, local hospitals and officials have said.
A Hamas official told Reuters the group had informed the mediators it was ready to resume ceasefire talks, but reaffirmed the group's outstanding demands that any deal must end the war and secure an Israeli withdrawal from the coastal territory.
Hamas has said it is willing to free remaining hostages in Gaza, 20 of whom are believed to still be alive, only in a deal that will end the war. Israel says it can only end the war if Hamas is disarmed and dismantled. Hamas refuses to lay down its arms.
The war began after Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, killing 1,200 people and taking 251 hostages, according to Israeli tallies.
Israel's subsequent military assault has killed more than 56,000 Palestinians, according to the Gaza health ministry, displaced almost the entire 2.3 million population and plunged the enclave into a humanitarian crisis.
Reuters