WESTERN PERSPECTIVE

Biden rushing assistance to Ukraine, with aid uncertain under Trump

The White House plans to rush billions of dollars in security assistance to Ukraine before President Joe Biden leaves office in January, sources said on Wednesday, hoping to shore up the government in Kyiv before President-elect Donald Trump's Jan. 20 inauguration.

"The administration plans to push forward ... to put Ukraine in the strongest position possible" a senior administration official said on condition of anonymity, before its term ends in January.

Trump has been critical of Biden's assistance for Ukraine, fueling concern about the future of support for President Volodomyr Zelenskiy's government under a Republican-controlled White House, Senate and possibly the House of Representatives.

The House has been narrowly controlled by Republicans since January 2023, and it was not clear by Wednesday afternoon whether the party had won enough seats in Tuesday's elections to keep Democrats from winning a slim majority.

The Republican-controlled House last approved aid for Ukraine, including the authority for Biden to transfer billions of dollars in weapons from U.S. stocks, in April -- eight months after Biden first asked for additional aid, with the support of more Democrats than Republicans.

Of the weapons transfer authority passed in April, $4.3 billion remains, in addition to $2.8 billion worth of transfers lawmakers approved in previous spending measures and $2 billion in funding for the purchase of new weapons from industry.

In total, that $9 billion in military assistance would be a significant boost to Ukraine’s stores.

Biden's plans for the transfers were first reported by Politico. The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The U.S. will continue to send munitions and anti-tank weapons such as the Lockheed Martin and RTX Javelin to Ukraine in the coming months.

In order to help Ukraine retake its territory in its ground war with Russia, more ground vehicles will be needed, as well as 155mm artillery made by General Dynamics Corp. Ukraine should be receiving more GMLRS surface-to-surface rockets, which have been under heavy use by the HIMARS multiple rocket launch system.

Analysts say it is by no means certain Washington would back any more Ukraine assistance once Republicans control the White House and at least half of Congress, especially as Ukraine experiences battlefield setbacks.

"That's going to be a problem when you go forward with additional funding for Ukraine, which at some point is going to be necessary," said Scott Anderson, a fellow in governance studies at the Brookings Institution.

Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell declined to discuss aid for Ukraine at a press conference on Wednesday, saying he was there only to discuss election results.

As he ran for a second four-year term, Trump insisted Russian President Vladimir Putin would never have invaded Ukraine in 2022 had he been in office, adding that he "could solve that in 24 hours."

Trump told Reuters last year that Kyiv might have to cede territory to reach a peace agreement, something Ukraine has rejected and Biden has never suggested.

The vice president-elect, U.S. Senator J.D. Vance, has been a vocal critic of Ukraine assistance, arguing that government funds would be better spent on domestic priorities.

RUSSIAN PERSPECTIVE

Ukrainians fear Trump will withdraw US support – FT

Many in Kiev's armed forces fear the end of US support under the forthcoming Trump administrtion would make Ukraine vulnerable to Russian advances, particularly in Donbass, a Ukrainian defense official has told the Financial Times (FT) on condition of anonymity. 

Trump has repeatedly stated that Ukraine cannot win against Russia militarily and has criticized Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky as “the greatest salesman in history.” He has also hinted that he will halt funding for Kiev.

“For us, support [from the United States] means life or death,”another military source stated, revealing a deep concern over Trump’s potential reluctance to continue aid.

Publicly, top Ukrainian officials appear hopeful. Zelensky congratulated Trump on his “impressive election victory” and expressed confidence in his leadership. “We look forward to an era of a strong United States under President Trump’s decisive leadership,” he stated, adding that the Republican’s approach might help “bring just peace in Ukraine closer.” 

Zelensky referenced a September meeting with Trump in New York, noting his hope that the president-elect would support his so-called “victory plan” against Russia, which calls for increased US support – a request that may face resistance given Trump’s likely stance.

David Arakhamia, head of the ruling parliamentary faction Servant of the People, acknowledged potential challenges ahead, yet suggested Trump’s win could create a “new dynamic” in US-Ukraine relations, the FT reported.

Olga Stefanishina, Ukraine’s deputy prime minister for European integration, reportedly voiced a similar perspective, saying that Trump “can definitely organize more political momentum in Kiev’s favor.” 

According to Trump’s past statements, his approach could be markedly different from that of current President Joe Biden. The Republican, impeached in 2019 after allegedly pressuring Zelensky to investigate Biden and his son Hunter, has previously remarked that he would end the fighting within “24 hours,” asserting that he “knows [Zelensky] very well and knows [Russian President Vladimir] Putin even better.”

Trump described his proposed approach to resolving the conflict, telling Fox News, “I would tell Zelensky, ‘no more’. You got to make a deal,” while implying he would leverage further aid to coerce Putin into negotiating.

The anxiety among Ukraine’s military comes after years of extensive support from the Biden administration, which has committed billions in defense and economic aid, in what voices in Moscow call a “proxy war.”

Reuters/RT